Science dashboard
Every measurement and model behind the plan, with sources and freshness. For a personal trip recommendation, use the Tonight planner.
Live measurements
Measured upstream at L1, about 1.5 million km toward the Sun; conditions reach Earth roughly 30–60 minutes later. Each card shows its exact observation time.
IMF Bz
— · —
IMF By
— · —
B⊥ / clock θ
— · —
Speed
— · —
Dyn. pressure
— · —
Newell proxy
Derived · —
Reaches Earth
L1 ballistic · —
Planetary Kp · 3-hour cadence
Last 24 h (eight 3-hour bins)
Global, retrospective. Source: NOAA SWPC ground network. Not used in verdicts.
NOAA OVATION auroral forecast
Valid — · observed —
Trends
Last 6 hours · 1-minute resolution
Gaps are shown as breaks — missing minutes are never filled in. Times in Central.
Rolling statistics
| Window | Bz mean / median (nT) | Southward | Newell mean | Valid data |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min | — / — | — | — | 0% · incomplete |
| 15 min | — / — | — | — | 0% · incomplete |
| 30 min | — / — | — | — | 0% · incomplete |
| 60 min | — / — | — | — | 0% · incomplete |
Methods & sources
- Bz
- North–south part of the solar wind's magnetic field. Sustained southward (negative) Bz lets energy into Earth's magnetic field — helpful, but never a guarantee of aurora.
- L1
- A point ~1.5 million km toward the Sun where NOAA's spacecraft measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth.
- Newell coupling
- A relative index of how strongly the solar wind is driving Earth's magnetic field right now, from speed and field direction. Not a probability.
- OVATION
- NOAA's short-term model of where aurora may be overhead about 30–90 minutes ahead. Shown as NOAA output only and never extended past its valid time.
- Kp
- A planet-wide index of geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks (0–9). A regional indicator, not a prediction for one place or minute.
- Formulas, inputs and citations
- Use “Show the science” on any card above for the exact formula, actual inputs, coverage, assumptions and sources.
Signal log — app rule matches recorded silently from this data (no notifications are sent).
Data status · collection diagnostics
RTSW magnetometer
Status: never run
Last attempt: —
Last healthy check (200 or 304): —
Last new data: — · 0 new
Latest in source: —
RTSW plasma
Status: never run
Last attempt: —
Last healthy check (200 or 304): —
Last new data: — · 0 new
Latest in source: —
OVATION
Status: never run
Last attempt: —
Last healthy check (200 or 304): —
Last new data: — · 0 new
Latest in source: —
NOAA watches/warnings/alerts
Status: never run
Last attempt: —
Last healthy check (200 or 304): —
Last new data: — · 0 new
Latest in source: —
NOAA forecast discussion
Status: never run
Last attempt: —
Last healthy check (200 or 304): —
Last new data: — · 0 new
Latest in source: issued —
NOAA 3-day forecast
Status: never run
Last attempt: —
Last healthy check (200 or 304): —
Last new data: — · 0 new
Latest in source: issued —
Aurora Pants On shows measurements and NOAA model output only. No invented probabilities or scores — viewing verdicts are rule-based categories with every reason shown.