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Aurora Pants On

Science dashboard

Every measurement and model behind the plan, with sources and freshness. For a personal trip recommendation, use the Tonight planner.

Live measurements

Measured upstream at L1, about 1.5 million km toward the Sun; conditions reach Earth roughly 30–60 minutes later. Each card shows its exact observation time.

IMF Bz

Unavailable

— · —

IMF By

Unavailable

— · —

B⊥ / clock θ

Unavailable

— · —

Speed

Unavailable

— · —

Dyn. pressure

Unavailable

— · —

Newell proxy

Unavailable

Derived · —

Reaches Earth

Unavailable

L1 ballistic · —

Planetary Kp · 3-hour cadence

Last 24 h (eight 3-hour bins)

Global, retrospective. Source: NOAA SWPC ground network. Not used in verdicts.

NOAA OVATION auroral forecast

Valid — · observed —

Unavailable

Last 6 hours · 1-minute resolution

Gaps are shown as breaks — missing minutes are never filled in. Times in Central.

Rolling statistics

WindowBz mean / median (nT)SouthwardNewell meanValid data
5 min— / ———0% · incomplete
15 min— / ———0% · incomplete
30 min— / ———0% · incomplete
60 min— / ———0% · incomplete

Methods & sources

Bz
North–south part of the solar wind's magnetic field. Sustained southward (negative) Bz lets energy into Earth's magnetic field — helpful, but never a guarantee of aurora.
L1
A point ~1.5 million km toward the Sun where NOAA's spacecraft measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth.
Newell coupling
A relative index of how strongly the solar wind is driving Earth's magnetic field right now, from speed and field direction. Not a probability.
OVATION
NOAA's short-term model of where aurora may be overhead about 30–90 minutes ahead. Shown as NOAA output only and never extended past its valid time.
Kp
A planet-wide index of geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks (0–9). A regional indicator, not a prediction for one place or minute.
Formulas, inputs and citations
Use “Show the science” on any card above for the exact formula, actual inputs, coverage, assumptions and sources.

Signal log — app rule matches recorded silently from this data (no notifications are sent).

Data status · collection diagnostics

RTSW magnetometer

Status: never run

Last attempt: —

Last healthy check (200 or 304): —

Last new data: — · 0 new

Latest in source: —

RTSW plasma

Status: never run

Last attempt: —

Last healthy check (200 or 304): —

Last new data: — · 0 new

Latest in source: —

OVATION

Status: never run

Last attempt: —

Last healthy check (200 or 304): —

Last new data: — · 0 new

Latest in source: —

NOAA watches/warnings/alerts

Status: never run

Last attempt: —

Last healthy check (200 or 304): —

Last new data: — · 0 new

Latest in source: —

NOAA forecast discussion

Status: never run

Last attempt: —

Last healthy check (200 or 304): —

Last new data: — · 0 new

Latest in source: issued —

NOAA 3-day forecast

Status: never run

Last attempt: —

Last healthy check (200 or 304): —

Last new data: — · 0 new

Latest in source: issued —

Aurora Pants On shows measurements and NOAA model output only. No invented probabilities or scores — viewing verdicts are rule-based categories with every reason shown.